Archive for the ‘NFL Gambling’ Category

NFL Week 5

Posted: October 7, 2012 in NFL Gambling

Every day feels like a struggle, win a few and lose a few but can’t pull away. It’s amazing how many bets are decided by a half point. Anyways, starting today with a few 1st half bets:

  • Green Bay -4 (-110) vs. Indianapolis for $55
  • Cleveland +5.5 (-110) vs. NY Giants for $55
  • Kansas City +4 (-120 vs. Baltimore for $60
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Still recovering from the Tony Romo debacle on Monday Night that ruined an otherwise successful run in NFL betting last weekend. I think tonight is the week that the Cardinals run ends. St. Louis has played fairly well at home this year and their defense has been quite the surprise to just about everyone. I am not ready to jump on the Cardinals bandwagon for sure yet. Taking St. Louis +.5 (-115) 1st half for $57.50, under 19.5 (-110) 1st half for $55, and St. Louis +2 (-110) full game for $55.

UPDATE (10/4/2012 10:13 PM) – I think there will be a little more scoring this quarter and taking over 17.5 (-110) 2nd half for $55.

Lot of weapons on the field tonight but not expecting a high scoring event. I expect Rob Ryan to dial up the blitz and force Cutler into mistakes that he has been known to make on the road. That being said, taking Dallas -3 (-120) for $60 and under 41.5 (-110) for $55.

UPDATE (10/1/2012 10:01 PM) – If it wasn’t for a ridiculous gift Romo handed to the Bears, both my bets would be looking good. Still think the Cowboys will win this game at home and taking them -3 (-110) 2nd half for $110.

Games start in 10 minutes so I will be brief and to the point. Here is what I am taking at 1 PM:

  • Kansas City +2.5 (-110) vs. San Diego for $55
  • Atlanta -7 (-110) vs. Carolina for $55
  • St. Louis +2.5 (-105) vs. Seattle for $52.50
  • Over 48.5 (-110) New England vs. Buffalo for $55

UPDATE (9/30/2012 2:41 PM) – Mixed bag so far. Taking SF -0.5 (even) vs. NY Jets 2nd half for $50. Also taking New England -4 (-110) vs. Buffalo 2nd half for $110 and Atlanta -3 (-110) 2nd half for $55.

UPDATE 2 (9/30/2012 4:01 PM) – Falcons killing me but doing well elsewhere. At 4 PM, taking Arizona -4 (-120) vs. Miami for $60, under 39 (-110) Arizona vs. Miami for $55, and over 53.5 (-110) Green Bay vs. New Orleans for $55.

UPDATE 3 (9/30/2012 5:50 PM) – Arizona is not looking good but I expect them to make the game more interesting before the game ends. Taking them -3.5 (-110) 2nd half for $110. Also taking over 23 (-110) Denver vs. Oakland 2nd half and over 28 (-110) Green Bay vs. New Orleans for $55 each.

UPDATE 4 (9/30/2012 7:22 PM) – Replacement refs, regular refs… Doesn’t matter for the Green Bay Packers. Hope that doesn’t cost me a 2nd half over! For tonight, taking New York +2.5 (-110) for $55.

Feels Like Another Trap

Posted: September 27, 2012 in NFL Gambling

I’m stuck here… The Ravens should be able to blow Cleveland out of the water. But the Ravens are also coming off of an emotional Sunday night game and could suffer from a little hangover tonight at home. Not only that, the Ravens are on their 4th game in 17 days. That is unheard of! The Patriots exposed this Ravens defense but I just cannot force myself to put money on Brandon Weeden on the road. Just can’t. Instead, taking under 22 (-115) 1st half for $57.50 and under 43.5 (-110) full game for $55.

Got  absolutely rocked yesterday after an up and down Saturday. Could really use a few wins tonight. Taking under 23.5 (-110) 1st half for $55 and under 46 (-110) full game for $110. Seattle is a tough place to play and at the same time I don’t expect Seattle’s offense to do too much either tonight. Although after yesterday, I am starting to feel like I don’t know a thing about the NFL so who knows at this point. With these idiot replacement refs controlling games, I probably shouldn’t even be placing bets right now.

UPDATED (9/24/2012 10:04 PM) – Sticking with the under theme and taking under 21 (-115) 2nd half for $57.50.

This could potentially be the trap of the season but I just can’t over-think this one. The 49ers defense is just unreal and I expect them to force Christian Ponder to beat them by stuffing eight in the box at all times. For Minnesota to even have a chance of keeping this game close, Percy Harvin will need to have a monster game to open things up for Adrian Peterson. I just can’t see it happening. The 49ers are a team full of veterans and I am not concerned with them coming out flat today. Taking 49ers -4 (-110) 1st half for $110 and 49ers -7 (-115) full game for $115. Also taking an alternate point spread, 49ers -14.5 (+275) for $36.36 (which will win $100). On another note, taking Tampa Bay +6 (-110) for $55 too.

UPDATE (9/23/2012 2:36 PM) – I was right about a rout, but could not have been any more wrong about this game. Talk about the trap of the season, oh well. Expecting Harbaugh to wake his troops up and taking SF -6.5 (-120) 2nd half for $60. Also taking Redskins -4 (-110) vs. Bengals 2nd half and over 23.5 (-110) Lions vs. Titans 2nd half for $55 each.

UPDATE 2 (9/23/2012 4:02 PM) – Hit the over in the Lions vs. Titans game and sweating out the other few open 2nd half bets. At 4 PM, taking under 21 (-115) Cardinals vs. Eagles 1st half for $57.50 and over 43.5 (-110) Broncos vs. Texans for $55.

UPDATE 3 (9/23/2012 5:39 PM) – Won all 1 PM bets not associated with the 49ers. Things were looking great with my two 4 PM bets until a 93 yard bumble recovery as time expired to push the 1st half over in Arizona vs. Philly. That one hurt the most. Hoping for some more 2nd half Vick magic and taking Eagles -4.5 (-110) 2nd half for $110. Also taking under 21.5 (-105) in the Falcons vs. Chargers 2nd half for $52.50. Last but not least, taking under 22.5 (-110) Steelers vs. Raiders 2nd half for $55.